Tagged "forecasting"

On the Predictability of COVID-19

An analysis of coverage and accuracy of the COVID-19 Forecast Hub ensemble model shows that cases, hospitalizations, and deaths exhibit different degrees of predictability at 1-4 weeks ahead.

Can Symptoms Surveys Improve COVID-19 Forecasts?

Building on our previous two posts (on our COVID-19 symptom surveys through Facebook and Google) this post offers a deeper dive into empirical analysis, examining whether the % CLI-in-community indicators from our two surveys can be used to improve the accuracy of short-term forecasts of county-level COVID-19 case rates.