Flu and Other Diseases

Operational Systems

ILI Nearby

Flu nowcasting system.

Note: This system is designed to nowcast ILI driven by seasonal influenza and is NOT designed to nowcast ILI during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Crowdcast

Delphi’s “Wisdom of crowds” forecasting system: Used for Chikungunya, flu and most recently Covid.

Note: This system is has been repurposed to forecast ILI during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Other weekly forecasts

State-level weekly forecasts of ILI (influenza-like illness)

Note: This system is designed to forecast ILI driven by seasonal influenza and is NOT designed to forecast ILI during the COVID-19 pandemic. We have temporarily shut it down to focus on COVID-19.

Activities

We have participated, and have done very well, in all epidemiological forecasting challenges organized by the US government to date:

Forecasting Seasonal Influenza in the US

by CDC 2013 – current

Forecasting Dengue in Puerto Rico and Peru

by the White House OSTP

Forecasting the Chikungunya invasion of the Americas

by DARPA

Publicly Available Tools

EpiVis

Epidemiological time series visualizer

EpiData

API for getting up-to-date epidemiological data (also available via a web interface through EpiVis)

Epiforecast

Epidemiological forecasting R package

Nowcast

Epidemiological nowcasting via sensor fusion

FluScores

Visual comparison of scored submissions to CDC Flu Forecasting Challenge (provide your own score files)

Utils

Epidemiological modeling utilities (e.g., date/epi-weeks conversions)

All source code is freely available on GitHub.